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Paige Vaughn Selected work Oura member value · Independent research plan · 2026
Research design · Behavioral insight · Lifecycle opportunity

What makes a membership worth keeping?

A four-method study designed to find the moments that earn continued use of a wearable membership - and the moments where that value quietly stops arriving.

Role
Research designer - sole author
Independent portfolio project, 2026
Context
Subscription hardware products can keep usage steady while perceived value erodes. Usage data shows the erosion late; it does not explain it.
Business question
Which member needs should be prioritized to sustain perceived value and reduce avoidable disengagement?
What I owned
  • The brief and decision framework
  • Hypotheses and sampling plan
  • All four method protocols
  • Participant instruments
  • Synthesis framework and prioritization rule
Methods
  • Social media scan
  • 10-day photo diary
  • 45-minute product demo
  • 60-minute generative journey mapping

Independent, unaffiliated, and not yet fielded. This is a proposed study I designed on my own initiative. I have no affiliation with Oura, no access to internal or proprietary data, and no relationship with the company. No fieldwork has been conducted. Every worksheet shown is blank. There are no participants, no findings, no quotes, and no outcomes on this page - only the design that would produce them.

01 The brief

Identify the moments that earn continued use.

I want to learn when members get enough understanding, reassurance, or practical support to keep valuing the product - and when that connection weakens. This is framed as an opportunity to investigate, not as evidence that a retention problem exists. That distinction matters: research designed to confirm a problem tends to find one.

B1

Value worth keeping

What continues to justify membership after the novelty fades?

B2

Friction worth fixing

Which trust, interpretation, or real-life barriers weaken perceived value?

B3

Investment worth testing

Which product or lifecycle changes deserve validation first, and for whom?

Each question tied to the evidence it requires and the decision it informs
QuestionWhat the research must establishDecision it informs
B1 - What sustains value? Which recurring benefits matter after three or more months: learning, reassurance, practical action, or passive awareness? Which benefits to reinforce in ongoing education and membership communication.
B2 - What weakens value? Where the experience breaks down: trust, clarity, fit with real action, effort, or a change in the member's own needs. Whether to fix comprehension, navigation, guidance, or expectation-setting.
B3 - What to test first? Which unmet needs recur, matter deeply, and hold up across methods. Which differ by member context. Which opportunity and audience lead the next product or message test.
The design principle

Every method exists to close a specific decision gap. If it doesn't, it doesn't run.

Four methods, sequenced deliberately: capture ordinary use before probing deeply, diagnose specific episodes inside the product, then use those episodes to ground future-state mapping. The same members move through all three primary methods, which is what links a real moment to its later interpretation.

02 Architecture

Four methods, one chain of evidence.

  1. 01

    Social media scan

    Closes: what value and friction language should we investigate at all? Public first-person accounts, captured with enough context to understand the episode. Output: a search log and contrasting themes.

  2. 02

    10-day photo diary

    Closes: when is value experienced or lost in everyday life? Ten days balances ordinary routines against weekends and interruptions. Missing entries are evidence too. Output: member timelines with context.

  3. 03

    45-minute product demo

    Closes: is the barrier finding, understanding, trusting, or applying the information? Four very different problems with four different owners inside a company. Output: observed paths and workarounds.

  4. 04

    60-minute generative journey map

    Closes: what support would make the greatest difference, and why? Built from the member's own recent episodes rather than a prescribed "correct" journey. Output: current and ideal maps, plus member-ranked priorities.

03 Sampling

Sample the conditions that shape value, not just the people.

10–12
current members proposed U.S. adults with three or more months of use, app use at least weekly, and an active membership where required.

Optionally, four to six former members in separate retrospective interviews - people who stopped within the past year. They would not complete a current-use diary.

Variation is built in deliberately: length of use, daily versus occasional checking, health goals, satisfaction, comfort with data, and the work, travel, and caregiving constraints that shape whether anyone acts on what they see. Screening asks about original expectations, recent use, the features they return to, other wearables owned, and whether they have considered leaving.

Stated sampling boundary

Weekly-use eligibility deliberately excludes the least engaged members - the people most likely to churn. This sample cannot estimate churn rates and is not designed to.

04 Instrument

The member's daily evidence.

The diary worksheet is built to capture interpretation, not behavior alone. The sequence - expectation, observation, meaning, action, obstacle - is what separates a member who understood the information and could not act from one who never understood it. Those two members need opposite interventions.

Daily entry

One short entry about the usual check-in, plus up to three additional meaningful moments across the ten days.

Screenshot or photo
Add the part of the experience that caught your attention. Crop private details. A short written description is fine if you prefer not to share an image.
  1. Before checking, how did you feel?
  2. What did you notice, and what did you think it meant?
  3. Did it match your experience? How?
  4. What did you feel or decide next?
  5. What helped, or got in the way?

Later reflection: what actually happened? Did your view of the information change?
Usefulness: 1 not useful - 5 extremely useful. Explain the rating in your own words.

Diary protocol - participant activity and researcher responsibility
WhenParticipantResearcher
Day 020-minute onboarding and practice entry Explain consent, cropping, privacy; record baseline
Days 1–10One short entry per usual check-in Neutral reminders; log missing entries and context
Day 510-minute midpoint check-in Ask whether documenting is changing app use
Days 3, 6, 10Brief evening reflection Compare the intended action with what happened

Participants are never asked to check more often or change health behavior. A diary still influences attention, so that limitation is recorded as part of the data rather than assumed away.

05 Instrument

Diagnosing the barrier inside the experience.

Forty-five minutes, within three days of the diary closing. The member controls their own phone and chooses what to share. The purpose is to watch interpretation happen rather than to hear it recalled.

Product demo protocol
TimeTaskPrompt
5 minOpening and permission Show only the screens you are comfortable sharing.
10 minNormal check-in Where do you start? What do you skip?
10 minRevisit a diary moment Show me a match or a mismatch. How did you interpret it?
10 minAction and workaround Show an insight you followed, adapted, or ignored. Why?
10 minValue and reflection What would you show a friend to explain the value?

Captured throughout: task, path, interpretation, confidence, emotion, friction, workaround, and value moment - with observation recorded separately from retrospective explanation.

06 Instrument

Building the ideal journey with the member, not for them.

Sixty minutes, within a week of the demo. Twenty-five minutes mapping the current experience, twenty designing the ideal one, ten choosing three priorities, five on what a healthy relationship with the product would look like. The current map is photographed before anything is changed, so the comparison survives.

Moments
  • Review a score
  • View a trend
  • Ignore the app
  • Add your own
Emotions
  • Reassured
  • Confused
  • In control
  • Add your own
Actions
  • Adapted the advice
  • Sought more context
  • Took no action
  • Add your own
Needs
  • Understand why
  • Fit my real day
  • Use less effort
  • Add your own

Fig. 01 - Vocabulary cards. Blank cards are introduced first; these examples provide language without prescribing the answer.

Capture the need behind a requested feature. A participant's idea is input for design, not proof that a solution will work. Participants may reject, rename, or reinterpret any card, and that rejection is recorded as data.

07 Synthesis

Separating what the evidence establishes from what I would infer.

Every method has a ceiling. Naming those ceilings in advance is what stops a vivid quote from becoming a company-wide conclusion.

Evidence sourceWhat it can establishWhat it cannot establish alone
Social scanPublic language, episodes, and contrasting opinions How common a view is among all members
Photo diaryReported moments, context, and intended or completed actionsUnobserved behavior or causal effect
Product demoObserved navigation and interpretation during the sessionNormal behavior across all situations
Journey mapsMember priorities, meanings, and desired support Whether a proposed change will improve retention

How evidence is handled

  • Compare within each participant first, then across participants
  • Record counterexamples explicitly rather than smoothing them out
  • Label social signals, self-report, observation, and researcher inference separately

How it becomes a decision

Evidence → pattern → need → opportunity. The chain is written down for each finding so a reader can see exactly where interpretation entered.

I also track my own assumptions about health data, action, and engagement - because member evidence may support a very different definition of value than mine.

08 Prioritization

A stated rule for what moves forward.

The study ends with choices, not a long list of feature requests. Four tests, applied consistently, with the scoring logic fixed before any data exists.

TestEvidence examinedDecision rule
Member importanceHow consequential is the issue in the member's own account?Give depth of impact weight alongside recurrence.
Evidence confidenceDiary episode, demonstrated behavior, explanation, and counterexampleAdvance well-supported needs; investigate weak explanations.
Business relevanceConnection to ongoing usefulness or perceived membership valueState the plausible mechanism without claiming retention lift.
Actionability and riskAddressable barrier, team ownership, dependencies, possible harmDefine the smallest useful test and its guardrails.
The output

Two or three priority opportunities - plus what I would defer, and why.

No scoring totals are assigned before data collection. Product feasibility would require input from internal teams I do not have access to, and the brief says so.

The format every recommendation takes

A template, not a completed finding.

  1. For [member context], prioritize [need] at [moment], because [evidence].
  2. Test [product or lifecycle change].
  3. Evaluate [member outcome] and [business outcome].
  4. Watch for [trade-off or unintended effect].

Each recommendation carries source IDs, contrary evidence, a confidence level, the likely owner, and the next test.

09 Measurement

What success would look like - and what it would not prove.

Business goalNear-term signal to testLater outcome and safeguard
B1 - Sustain valueCan a member name a personally useful benefit and explain why it matters?Observed continuation or renewal - with stated intent held separate from behavior.
B2 - Resolve frictionCan the member find and accurately explain the relevant information?Sustained usefulness, monitoring confusion, effort, and unwanted pressure.
B3 - Prioritize supportDoes a targeted change help the intended audience in realistic situations?A controlled test of product or lifecycle impact, with segment differences.

The limit of the method, stated in the deliverable

Qualitative research explains needs and mechanisms. It does not establish causal retention impact or support a financial forecast. Any revenue claim would require internal data and a subsequent controlled test.

10 Execution

Nine weeks from scope to decision brief.

123456789Scope and social scanRecruit and pilotPhoto diaryProduct demosJourney mappingSynthesisDecision brief and portfolioWEEK
Protect the participant

Consent, private storage, participant IDs, and separate permission for any portfolio image. No health advice is given at any point in the study.

Protect the interpretation

Pilot the prompts, record study reactivity, keep contrary cases, and preserve source and app-version context so a finding can be traced back to the conditions that produced it.

11 Status

What this version represents.

What exists today

A complete, ready-to-field research design: business brief, decision framework, hypotheses, recruitment plan, four method protocols, blank participant instruments, a synthesis framework, a prioritization rule, and a nine-week execution plan.

What does not exist

Fieldwork has not been run. There are no participants, no findings, no member quotes, no completed journey maps, and no outcomes. Counts and durations on this page are planning choices, not results.

Notes & sources

  1. Affiliation. Independent portfolio project. No relationship with Oura Health Oy. No internal, proprietary, or partner data was used or requested. Product feature references are drawn from publicly available documentation and would be re-verified for app version and availability before fieldwork began.
  2. Instruments. All worksheets reproduced here are blank templates. No member data appears anywhere on this page.
  3. Ethics. Consent, private storage, participant IDs, and separate portfolio-image permission are built into the protocol. The study gives no health advice and does not ask participants to change health behavior.